AGI Futures Forecasts
A layer for frontier judgment. Structuring predictions beyond simple binaries into rich probability distributions to navigate the AGI transition.
Forecast Deep-Dive
Theses & Interactive Discussion
Condition
If general-purpose software agents can autonomously complete end-to-end pull request workflows in production codebases at near-senior-human quality by 2030
What will average annual spend on model/API tokens per software developer at AI-native seed-stage startups be in 2030, relative to that developer’s annual cash compensation?
Your Forecast
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