Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) & Pace of Aging
Aggregates Metaculus #6592, Manifold Markets, and 10 notable experts with a dynamically updating Pace of Aging trajectory (99th Pct = 0.66 yr/yr, 80th Pct = 0.84 yr/yr) tied to LEVL Health.
Audit prediction markets, expert consensus, and causal trajectories across human longevity, artificial general intelligence, and cosmological physics.
Ages 7.9 mos/yr (+124d banked/yr) • IQR: Feb 2033–Sep 2040
Ages 10.1 mos/yr (+59d banked/yr) • Status Quo 50th Pct: 2051.1
Select any atlas to inspect its full interactive graph, adjust upstream assumptions, or embed live forecasts.
Aggregates Metaculus #6592, Manifold Markets, and 10 notable experts with a dynamically updating Pace of Aging trajectory (99th Pct = 0.66 yr/yr, 80th Pct = 0.84 yr/yr) tied to LEVL Health.
Traces 100% conserved probability mass from Primordial Origin and Ontological Substrate through Conscious Fate, Simulation/Multiverse, and Ultimate Cosmic Fate with Bayesian conditioning.
Interactive probability river comparing Simple (9-node) and Comprehensive (22-node) trees across Pause, Cyberpunk, Sputnik 2.0, New-Deal AI, and Existential Doom.
Audits the month-by-month AI 2027 scenario with a Late-2026 Empirical Reality Check layer, topological Noisy-OR propagation, and the October 2027 Race vs. Slowdown fork.
Models hardware bottlenecks, energy grid scaling, autonomous R&D loops, and labor-capital transitions between 2027 and 2040.
Evaluates counterfactual governance interventions across six civilizational objectives while keeping normative value weights strictly separated from objective probability forecasts.
Embed the live dynamically updating 99th/80th percentile Pace of Aging graphic in Substack, Beehiiv, Ghost, or any website via /api/embed/lev-card or /embed/lev.
Query scenario graphs, LEV aggregates (/api/v1/lev), and submit hash-chained forecasts via 18 REST endpoints and 11 MCP tools.
Present interactive scenario decks in 16:9 or 9:16 short-form video mode, or inspect SHA-256 + HMAC-SHA256 forecast audit receipts.